"Don't California my Texas" isn't just a catchy slogan: Politico says it's the reason why the red wave never happened.
Data from the U.S. Postal Service and Census Bureau shows how the pandemic drove urban professionals who were able to work remotely — disproportionately Democrats — out of coastal, progressive cities to seek more space or recreational amenities in the nation's suburbs and Sun Belt. This moved liberals out of electoral districts where Democrats reliably won by large margins into many purple regions that had the potential to swing with just small changes to the map.
And because partisan gerrymanderers carved up new districts before the extent of pandemic mobility data was understood, they could not neutralize the population shifts. And pollsters were none the wiser.
2021: "California is a NIGHTMARE. We have to get out of here as fast as possible!"
[Moves to Idaho/Arizona/Nevada/Texas]
2022: "Ugh, everything around here is so Republican. We have to vote out these dumb hicks and get some progressives in here!"
[Votes in Dems across the board]
2026: "Idaho/Arizona/Nevada/Texas is a NIGHTMARE. We have to get out of here as fast as possible!"
It truly is amazing (and horrific) to behold. On one hand, these avocado-toast-eating, white-collar wokies aren't reproducing, so in a few decades they'll be as kaput as their Priuses (who am I kidding, those Toyotas will probably outlast them).
On the other hand, they have a disproportionate amount of wealth that they aren't spending on raising the next generation, which means they can fling money at political causes they are passionate about (read: policies that destroy civilizations) for the next few decades until the anti-woke Latino Catholics, Reformed evangelicals, and Muslims have enough kids to finally displace them.
Some of the tightest Senate races took place in Nevada and Arizona, states that the Census Bureau found attracted some of the greatest population growth.
In one of the most watched 2022 races, Arizona's Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake — an ardent election denier and so-called Trump in heels — was expected to narrowly defeat Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs. FiveThirtyEight simulations gave her 2-to-1 odds and a 2.2-point margin.
But Arizona's most populous region, Maricopa County gained nearly 100,000 people since 2018, and Democrats' margins rose by 17 points since that year. Lake lost by just 17,000 votes.
It's almost like the Dems didn't even need to stuff the ballot boxes. They just needed to get woke voters to flee their dystopian hellscapes and move into new places where they'd be loyal little subjects for life.
Pima County, which includes Tucson, gained 16,000 people and its margins in the gubernatorial race swung 16 points for Democrats since 2018. It also gave a scare to Republican House candidate Juan Ciscomani, who FiveThirtyEight gave a 93 percent chance of victory and a 9.4 percent projected margin. Instead, he won by only 1 percent, around 3,500 votes.
Elsewhere in the Southwest, in Colorado's 8th District, Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer was projected to win her House race by an 8-point margin and in 9-out-of-10 simulations by FiveThirtyEight. Instead, Democrat Yadira Caraveo carried the election by a margin of less than 2,000 votes.
The heavily gerrymandered district includes parts of Adams and Weld Counties, Denver suburbs that together grew by nearly 35,000 residents since 2018. Using the 2018 and 2022 Colorado governor's races as indicators, Adams and Weld swung 8 and 6 points in Democrats' favor.
In theory, those having the children will eventually win. Exactly 100% of all Americans eligible to vote in 2022 will be dead in a century.
The problem is that the Left, with its love of power, is already ahead of the curve. Their voters might not ever have any descendants (for the sake of the planet, of course), but they've set up ballot harvesting and propaganda in public schools to take care of that problem from cradle to grave.
It only stops when someone flips the leftist assumptions that run both the Democratic and Republican parties on their heads. Conservatives have to not simply be Democrat Lite™, they have to be anti-woke. They have to start with an entirely different set of assumptions about identity, purpose, governance, and destiny than their leftist peers.
Until then, we're gonna get Republicans who vote to cut taxes while legalizing marriage between two people of the same sex because they buy into the mumbo jumbo that "love is love" and "born that way" instead of objective truth and societal stability.
Oh, before I forget, I should mention that Politico did a little dance on the graves of dead GOP voters.
A working paper by Yale researchers recently released by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that far more Republicans are likely dying of Covid than Democrats.
You can practically feel their glee!
According to the study, which used data from Florida and Ohio counties, registered Republicans and Democrats died of Covid in equal numbers in 2020, but once vaccines became widely available in summer 2021, the number of Republican excess deaths nearly doubled those of Democrats. The disparity grew even wider during the winter of 2021.
The reality, of course, is that older individuals are far more conservative than younger voters (which is why Dems want to lower the voting age). Experience tends to make people distrust the leftist ideology – largely because it relies on the continued revolution of the naive instead of the faithful obedience of the wise to leech off society instead of building it.
Since Covid is largely only a threat to the elderly, and since the vaccine really only provides benefits to that age group, it would make sense that elderly Democrats did survive better than their unvaxxed peers, but to assume this made a huge influence in the election is nothing more than the conjecture of vile people who desperately want to believe that "progressivism" is going to win.
Amid skepticism by Trump and other conservative elites, fewer Republicans chose to be vaccinated or to wear masks in public spaces, and the consequences have sometimes been fatal.
Studies have repeatedly shown that wearing masks made very little difference in contracting Covid – even the Twitter recluses that triple mask and rarely venture outdoors have all gotten it at this point. This author had Delta and Omicron and lived to tell the tale, as did 99.999999% of you (nearly 100% of people have been exposed to Covid at this point; the number of people who have contracted it is nearly as high).
But that won't stop woke reporters from dancing on the graves of people like my ailing grandfather, who likely contracted Delta during a hospital visit in super-leftist-and-locked-down Chicago and died last Christmas.
Instead, they'll celebrate their muddled purple puddle like it's a pyrrhic victory for the ages.
What I would hope you glean from this is that demographics are indeed changing, but that it's no cause for despair. The Democrats laud the intersectional world they think they are creating, unaware that their whole house is built on a rotted foundation. It will soon collapse.
Since good comedy is always based in truth, you can see this through the viral series The Babylon Bee is making about Californians who move to Texas:
You don't need to be an expert to realize which ideological system will win out in the end. It's self evident, just like the truths this nation was built on.
In the meantime, take heart, raise your children right, fear God, fight the corruption, and hold on. Perverse and crooked governance always comes to an inevitable end, and history sadly repeats itself. Those who seek wisdom in the midst of it may endure the stupidity that lies ahead.
"The fear of the LORD is the beginning of wisdom, and the knowledge of the Holy One is insight." - Proverbs 9:10