Trump's post-presidency political career is...not off to a great start:

As Donald J. Trump weighs whether to open an unusually early White House campaign, a New York Times/Siena College poll shows that his post-presidential quest to consolidate his support within the Republican Party has instead left him weakened, with nearly half the party's primary voters seeking someone different for president in 2024 and a significant number vowing to abandon him if he wins the nomination.

Live look at the state of Florida right now:

I mean look this isn't surprising. Donald Trump was a man of a certain time and place. He did some tremendous good (so long, Roe v. Wade!). He did some fair-to-middling stuff. He did some really, really bad stuff (hello, Fauci!).

His time has arguably come and gone. Surely a second Trump term would be vastly preferable to whoever the Democrats put up in 2024. But can he pull it off, especially if he just makes his entire campaign a ceaseless referendum about what he thinks was the "rigged" 2020 election?

Those numbers could change over the next 18 months. That seems unlikely, though.

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