Catherine Herridge has been working in the mainstream media for three decades, and she was at one time Fox News' Chief Intelligence Correspondent. She probably knows a lot more about our intelligence community than any one of us ever will.
That's why her prediction during Face The Nation's Christmas Eve episode has me covered in goosebumps. Check out her response when asked to weigh in on what will transpire politically over the next year.
Well, mine's a little dark. I just feel a lot of concern that 2024 may be the year of a black swan event. This is a national security event with high impact that's very hard to predict. There are a number of concerns I have that factor into that — not only this sort of enduring, heightened threat level that we're facing, the wars in Israel, also Ukraine; and we're so divided in this country in ways that we haven't seen before. And I think that just creates fertile ground for our adversaries like North Korea, China and Iran, and that's what concerns me most.
A little background on black swan events:
Black swan events are rare and unexpected events with severe consequences with the potential to cause a change in a formerly held belief or system of beliefs. In his book, Taleb notes the three defining attributes of a black swan event:
- An event that is unpredictable.
- A black swan event results in severe and widespread consequences.
- After the occurrence of a black swan event, people will rationalize the event as having been predictable (known as hindsight bias).
Yeah, uhhhh…
Nothing to worry about here, folks. Move along.
I'm sure this black swan event being randomly predicted by a member of the mainstream media won't have any impact whatsoever on the 2024 election.
Just like there totally wasn't any black swan event that changed the outcome of the 2020 election!
P.S. Now check out our latest video 👇
